You can't go wrong with any of these. I give a slight edge to Peterson because of the increased role he'll need to fill with Sidney Rice out, and his determination to make amends for costly fumbles late last season. Chris Johnson is a monster, but I'm always wary of trendy No. 1 picks. And really -- can he improve on what he did last year?
Look for Rice to become even more of a weapon catching passes with the addition of Anquan Boldin, as defenses will have to give more respect to the Baltimore downfield game. Turner has something to prove after last year and figures to be hugely prolific again. Be a little wary of Gore, who gets nicked easily and who had several demoralizing fantasy Sundays last year.
Mendenhall and Mathews figure to be stalwarts in running-first offenses (use a little restraint when it comes to assessing the rookie, as always). Grant is always underrated in a great offense. Charles is my surprise this high; his 2009 impact would have come much sooner if he had a coach who has a clue. Even if Thomas Jones gets some goalline carries and vultures some TDs, Charles will have more than his share of 30- and 40-yard TD runs.
If the name Arian Foster looks unfamiliar to you after the events of the past few weeks, there's still time to get in on fantasy basketball. He's in a great offense and should have been targeted in fantasy drafts even if he hadn't been eye-popping in August. Thomas could be up a tier or down a tier, depending on how often the Saints rotate their backs. Greene is the clear favorite in the NYJ backfield, but the Jets didn't sign LaDainian Tomlinson for nothing.
I need to see Benson do it again before I'm a believer; plus, Terrell Owens and Chad Johnson (that's what his parents named him, so it's good enough for me) will be crying for the ball again. Williams and Stewart are always a flip of a coin, and always pretty reliable.
I expect a bounceback year for Forte, who's also a pass-catching threat. Addai is getting brittle and will likely be supplanted by Donald Brown by season's end. Wells is an interesting option on what should be a run-first team. Best may turn out to be the best rookie RB of all, but the Lions are the Lions. Moreno has tremendous upside.
Sneaky value is possible in this tier. Jones could be the starter by year's end if he can finally stay healthy. Bradshaw has great upside but durability questions.
Spiller and Brown could both be starters by December, if not sooner. Brown has to learn to block. If you can't pick up a DL from the outside and protect Peyton Manning, you're not going to be with the first team.
All of these figure to be timeshares at best, but an injury can change that in a hurry. At this point, Washington has the best breakaway talent of the bunch.
Feeling lucky? And by this point, are you really paying attention?